The Value at Risk of Selling Option on Crude Oil West Texas Intermediate

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Asianto, Abitur and Siregar, Hermanto and Sembel, Roy and Maulana, Tubagus Nur Ahmad (2019) The Value at Risk of Selling Option on Crude Oil West Texas Intermediate. Etikonomi, 18 (1). pp. 105-120. ISSN 1412-8969

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Abstract

The Value at Risk (VaR) of selling the option on crude oil WTI has not widely known, whereas this trade is the most significant transactions in the world. This study aimed to analyze the Value at Risk (VaR) of the far out of the money (FOTM) and the in the money (ITM) strike position of selling option on crude oil WTI investment. The monthly option premium return data ranging from April 1984 to May 2017 was analyzed by the ARCHGARCH and VaR method to get the risk of FOTM and ITM strike position. Empirical results indicate that the risk of the FOTM strike was much lower than the ITM strike positions. It meant that selecting the FOTM strike position of the selling option on crude oil WTI investment could be considered by stakeholders because its risk was much lower than the ITM strike position. Keywords: value at risk, option, ARCH-GARCH

Item Type: Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Research And Community Empowerment > Journals
Depositing User: Rizky Amalia
Date Deposited: 23 Jan 2020 09:50
Last Modified: 21 Dec 2021 08:08
URI: http://repository.ipmi.ac.id/id/eprint/589

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